Sunday, January 23, 2022

2022 Prediction Time

After a one-week delay, my fearless predictions for 2022 are here.  Let’s go…

Yes- Interior Growth this year- I called for Glass to be more dominant than ever in 2021 based in part to major design shifts to the interior using more glass.  Unfortunately, the delay of returning to any sort of work also delayed this growth.  Well, I am going for it in 2022, interiors with tons of glass will take off.

More 8mm- The trend really started to push with more 8mm glass in IGU’s then the traditional 6mm, and I think in 2022, it’s going to become more standard than ever.  Bigger sizes are demanding this and the quality options improve too.  (Though some tempering ovens will need upgraded and a bigger need for quality tracking because of this for sure.) The days of 6 over 6 as the ONLY go to are coming to an end.

Rough waters for some- We are going to lose some businesses this year.  I hope not, but my fear is the amount of crazy pricing, supply chain issues, and plain old bad luck will doom some folks.  This is one prediction I hope is wrong, but I have a bad feeling about this mostly because some businesses were not as organized as they needed to be or funded as well as they needed to be for them to ride out a monumental mess that certain things became.  We will see…

Code Crunch- The various code and guideline bodies have been pretty mellow lately which means I think we are about to see them raise up.  What will it be though?  Less glass or call for higher performing glass options?  I am confident that the brilliant NGA Superhero Code team will do all they can to keep glass flowing but I think they’re going to be awfully busy this year battling other construction segments. 

More than 1 big deal is coming- We know there are a few massive companies for sale in our industry and I think in 2022 more than 1 will actually get sold.  One of these deals will turn the industry on its head too either in who it is sold to or how it is broken up/restructured.   This is just a guess, I don’t have any intel yet, just a feel is all.  I just hope whoever makes these deals wants to do right by the industry as a whole.  Be involved with the NGA, GlassBuild etc.  We need to keep that rolling to keep our overall industry healthy and headed in the right direction.

 

Elsewhere…

 

--  If you missed my podcast from last week- please check it out.  Three incredible guests in Nicole Harris, Tara Brummet, and Andy Russo and all with tons of insight and angles.  

For VIDEO  

For AUDIO

 

--  I am happy to say I was wrong on my prediction that the latest Architectural Billings Index would be underwater this month.  The latest came in at a winning 52.0 actually up one point from last month.  So, despite the bad “feel” out there the metrics came together on the positive side.  The analysis of the report showed some concern with staffing and holes in the market but otherwise hard to quibble with this streak we are on…

 

--  Congrats to the team at International Revolving Door (Led by Whitney and Josh Kratochvil) on the launch of their tremendous new website.  Check it out here- and love the headline “YOU KNOW WHERE TO TURN” when it’s on a revolving door site- cool. Well done team!

 

--  I really enjoyed seeing two of my favorite people combine on a cool blog post… John Wheaton and Matt Verderamo go back and forth on fasteners and engineering- so for me who is clueless on so many things technically- it was an intriguing dive into the minds of two really brilliant engineers.  Good work guys!

 

--  Last this week… the Daubmann family (MY Shower Door and D3) was back in the news as they met with United States Senator Rick Scott on the state of the supply chain.  I love that these folks consistently get in the conversation at high levels and elevate our industry along the way.  The report on the meeting can be found here and I am sure this is just the start of more dialogue that our world will be a part of thanks to the efforts of folks like Bill and Keith.  

 

LINKS of the WEEK

This should be filed in the “don’t we have better things to do” category.

 

Here we go again… Google Glasses are back!

 

Brutal story of robbery gone bad and more.  Wow.

 

PROJECT of the WEEK

One of my favorites in this world is Rick Alexander of Tom Brown.  Smart as heck and nice guy too.  He turned me on to a project that his company worked on with a technology I never heard of and it opened my eyes to something pretty darn amazing.  Check this project out from INOVUES.  This is their non-invasive, overglaze window retrofit system, named Glazing Shield™, that provides the same benefits of window replacement at a fraction of the cost and time, and without disruption.  READ this release for the details and more images- very impressive and intense.  Also impressive was their leadership (Anas Al Kassas and Alex King) team which I got to speak to thanks to Rick and a podcast appearance is coming soon.  Fascinating story and product line!



 

No comments: